Autokratski mir: Izgledi za empirijska istraživanja
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.18485/Ključne reči:
аutokratija, politički režim, autokratski mir, teorija demokratskog mira, dijada, oružani sukobiApstrakt
Teza o miroljubivom ponašanju demokratskih političkih režima u međunarodnom sistemu konceptualizovana je u okviru teorije demokratskog mira osamdesetih godina 20. veka. Vođen Kantovim idejama o „separatnom miru” između određenih tipova političkih režima, Majkl Dojl 1983. Godine razvija teorijske postulate ove teorije. Dijadička varijanta demokratskog mira predstavlja pretpostavku prema kojoj su dve države sklonije miru u njihovim međuodnosima. U poslednje vreme se pojavilo nekoliko radova sa idejom tzv. „negativne verzije” teorije demokratskog mira, odnosno tezom o autokratskom miru. Prema postulatima ove ideje, države autokratskog političkog režima su manje sklone ratu u njihovim međusobnim odnosima. Teza o autokratskom miru preuzima analitičke kategorije od teorije demokratskog mira, poput dijada, prostorno-vremenske rasprostranjenosti, varijabli, određivanja autokratičnosti jedne države i tumačenja empirijskih nalaza. Cilj ovog članka je da prikaže najvažnije akademske diskusije u vezi sa potencijalom empirijskog ispitivanja sukoba upotrebom teze o autokratskom miru.
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